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28th November 2025

PIMCO: Tariffs Are Here to Stay

Expectations are high that the U.S. Supreme Court will rule against the Trump administration’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) – the 1970s legislation that allows a president to declare a national economic emergency – to justify tariffs. Betting markets had placed the odds of a ruling in favor of the president’s use of IEEPA at about 40% before the recent oral arguments on November 5, but since then, the odds have dropped to roughly 20%, according to outcome trading platform Kalshi.

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